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Vancouver's housing market is headed for a 'bumpy landing,' economist says

© Reuters/Reuters Photographer

  • Following new mortgage regulations and higher rates, Canada's most expensive housing          markets have slowed sharply this year.
  • The housing market in Toronto has showed signs of stabilization in recent months.
  • But Vancouver may not be headed for a similarly soft landing, economists say.

As Canada's housing market cools down, economists say some of its once-booming cities look poised for uneven corrections. 

Canada's housing market has cooled since new mortgage regulations aimed at reining in demand and risky lending took effect...

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Balanced Conditions Prevail in BC Housing Market

Vancouver, BC – November 14, 2018. The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) reports that a total of 6,405 residential unit sales were recorded by the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) across the province in October, down 26.2 per cent from the same month last year. The average MLS® residential price in BC was $690,161, a decline of 4.1 per cent from October 2017. Total sales dollar volume was $4.2 billion, a 29.3 per cent decline from October 2017.

“The BC housing market continued to grapple with tougher mortgage qualifications in October,” said Cameron Muir,...

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BCREA is forecasting a better year ahead for BC sales


Home sales in British Columbia have been subdued during 2018 and are expected to end the year 23% lower than 2017 with 80,000.

The figures from the British Columbia Real Estate Board (BCREA) reflect the tough year the province’s housing markets – especially Vancouver – following policy changes including the mortgage stress test and interest rate hikes. It could have been worse though had the economy not remained supportive.

But there is better news ahead with sales forecast to rise 12% in 2019 to 84,000 units, just above the 10-year average of 80,000.

“The marked erosion...

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The British Columbia Real Estate Association (BCREA) released its 2018 Fourth Quarter Housing Forecast today. 

Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) residential sales in the province are forecast to decline 23 per cent to 80,000 units this year, after recording 103,768 residential sales in 2017. MLS® residential sales are forecast to increase 12 per cent to 89,500 units in 2019. The 10-year average for MLS® residential sales in the province is 84,800 units. 

“The marked erosion of affordability and purchasing power caused by the mortgage stress test and rising interest rates...

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Canada’s housing markets should see a moderation in both housing starts and sales while house prices are expected to reach levels that are more in line with economic fundamentals such as income, job and population growth. This forecast for 2019 and 2020 is drawn from the 2018 Housing Market Outlook released today by Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).

Nationally, CMHC’s outlook for 2019 projects total housing starts to edge down and range between 193,700 to 204,500 with the downward trend expected for both single and multi-unit starts. MLS sales are expected...

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Home sale activity across Metro Vancouver* remained below long-term historical averages in October. 

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential home sales in the region totalled 1,966 in October 2018, a 34.9 per cent decrease from the 3,022 sales recorded in October 2017, and a 23.3 per cent increase compared to September 2018 when 1,595 homes sold. 

Last month’s sales were 26.8 per cent below the 10-year October sales average. 

“The supply of homes for sale today is beginning to return to levels that we haven’t seen in our market in...

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Altaire by Polygon

Altaire built in 2008/2009 reaches higher then any other condo building in Metro Vancouver offering panoramic views.

Novo I by Intergulf

Novo I built in 2007 known for the amazing sight lines and views from most units and balconies up to 1000 sq ft.

Novo II by Intergulf

Novo II built in 2007 known for the amazing sight lines and views from most units and balconies up to 1000 sq ft.

Aurora by Polygon

Aurora built in 2006 with 103 condos featuring 36 unique floor plans ranging from 715 sq ft to 1500 sq ft.

One University by Millennium

One University built in 2005 is UniverCity's flagship building with luxury homes featuring semi private elevators.

Harmony by Polygon

Harmony built in 2005 was the first condo development at Univercity & as a result offers a unique setting & views.

Serenity Townhomes by Polygon

Serenity is a collection of 2 bedroom townhomes of 1100 sq ft ranging to 4 bedroom 2000+ sq ft townhomes.

The Hub by Liberty Homes

The Hub built in 2009 is set atop Nester's Grocery and steps from High Street giving these homes an urban feel.

Verdant by VanCity Enterprises

Verdant is a two storey town home building built with environmental design and stylish living spaces which complement the modern exterior of these SFU homes.

Origin by Porte Development

Origin is designed by GBL Architect & BYU Interior Designs, developed by Porte Development Corp. and marketed by Red Dot Real Estate.

Nest by Mosaic

Located on UniverCity High Street across from the new University Highlands elementary schools this refreshing building will add further depth to a growing community.

Highland House by Liberty Homes

A 12-storey concrete high-rise development and targeted towards Rental Investors and First-Time Condo Buyers.

Lift by Porte Development

Lift will be a wood frame building comprising of 56 homes. Building technologies, environmental features, and price points should be similar to Origin.

Altitude by Hungerford Group

Altitude will be a 2 tower development comprising of a 12 and 14 story building with a total of 210 strata units.

CentreBlock by Liberty Homes

CentreBlock at UniverCity atop Burnaby Mountain is the latest condo project with sales commencing early 2014. .

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